Draft Kings Advice
O/U 54
This is the highest total of the Sunday slate and the big money backing the Titans. With both teams favouring the ground game and both having leaky run defences, Derrick and Chubb are likely to high on the shopping lists… but choose with caution. It’s rare that two running attacks reach their peaks in one game… that said, if you back the right horse, that runner is probably going to be a game changer.
I have to say that while I adore Derrick Henry, especially at this time of year, it’s the Titans wide receivers that have peaked my interest… AJ Brown bagged himself 98 yards and a touchdown last week… with majority of those yards coming after the catch, even a defence like the Colts couldn’t bring him down… the man cannot be stopped! On the other side Corey Davis’s low cost, consistent year continued last week; proving again that he has a pretty safe floor… and while he’s not going to break fantasy, he has a great ceiling; putting up over 20 point 3 times this season. Going against the a Browns D that has given up the 11thmost points to fantasy wide-outs this season they expect to see Corey getting open and AJ dragging defenders as he goes ALL DAY!
Landry has probably priced himself out of the discussion with his performance last week. Hunt is always interesting as RB2 or Flex… but there are 24 of these 54 point are going to go to the Browns... My problem is I don’t trust Baker… if I’m gonna put some money on the Browns QB its gonna be either a dart throw or a bargain… so my suggestion this week for a Cleveland play is Higgins. Rashaard Higgins fits the cheap and cheerful dart throw option, but he is quietly moving up the depth chart, missed last week for a guaranteed score he was on the field as often as his high scoring veteran counterpart, Landry. $4k? Why not?
O/U 51
This may not be the highest implied game total of the week, it’s not even the second… but for one of these teams… like a fat kid on a seesaw… it’s heavily tipped in their favour. Any guesses which one?
Spoiler…Its not the Jags… but while we’re here… Mike Glennon is starting. We don’t know who is his favoured target. Game script expectation means he probably will have to throw the ball… but will that go well? WE DON’T KNOW! But hey at least the Jags best receiver is healthy… wait… a… minute. So James Robinson it is then, he has been seeing unrivalled attempts, I don’t expect that to change this week. The lad is a bellcow… Robinson could be a juicy contrarian play this week as the field flocks to Henry and Cook.
Speaking of Cook… Lets call last week a blip; he had a injury, the direction of the game required some throws not runs… this week, with this spread he’s a must add in small field tournaments. In larger competitions you have to bet on one of the two stud wide outs, the old man or the rookie? Both are playing lights out, but this week I’m betting on seeing the ‘griddy dance’ at least once! Which ever way you go, Kirk isn’t the worst stack with one of his receivers. Quietly Cousins is eighth in touchdowns per game and gets to play against a defence in the bottom two in all metrics linked to QB play.
Two Birds... One... Football? If you know a quarterback is going to hit... you probably know who he's gonna throw it to. Why not play both? Putting you eggs in one basket is BETTER if you know nobody is going to drop them!
Ryan Tannehill + Corey Davis || Nick Chubb
Kirk Cousins + Justin Jefferson || James
Robinson
Justin Herbert + Keenan Allen || James White
Dalvin Cook + Vikings DEF
Deshaun Watson + Brandon Cooks + Jordan Akins
We're not talking slot receivers here... we're talking about the gambles... the players that cost you a penny, you pull the lever and they MIGHT JUST pay out BIG!
QB… FITZMAGIC! $6,000 (if Tua misses)
RB… David Montgomery $5,500 (O-line change)
WR… Rashard Higgins $4,000
TE… Jordan Akins $2,900 or Adam Trautman $2,500
DEF… Texans $2,800
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